Today was a mixed day, which is evident in the tape. Today we had one of the top food deals announced, yet Warren Buffett came out and said we were in a recession. There were also concerns that the housing market will continue to slide along with general credit conditions, and that black stuff in the barrels was up $0.25 at $118.77 on last look.. Here were the unofficial closing levels:
Bebe Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ: BEBE) fell after a downgrade by Roth Capital Partners from a Buy to a Hold rating, citing disappointing sales and conservative guidance. The company reports earnings Thursday. Shares fell by more than 10% to $9.86 on the news.
Shares of electronics retailer Radioshack (NYSE: RSH) are trading lower in premarket trading after putting up less than impressive earnings this morning.
The company was able to slightly come in above analyst estimates, with 30 cents per share compared to the forecast 29 cents per share, but the rest of the report left much to be desired. Compared to its first period last year, earnings were down slightly, as the company was able to show earnings of 31 cents a share last year. Revenue was also lower, by 4.4%.
One area that analysts always look at in judging a company's performance is same-store sales. Radioshack was weak in this area as well, posting a drop of 4% year-over-year. The company blamed this decline on lower demand for its Sprint post-paid wireless contracts and related accessories. Excluding this weak part of its business, Radioshack stated that it would have actually seen a 0.7% increase in its same-store sales.
RadioShack Corp. (NYSE: RSH) shares are trading higher this morning after the company posted a fourth-quarter profit of $101 million, or 77 cents per share, beating analyst expectations of 72 cents per share. RSH was helped by lower operating costs, which counteracted a drop in same-store sales. If you think that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on RSH.
After hitting a one-year high of $35.00 in June, the stock hit a one-year low of $13.31 in January. RSH opened this morning at $17.03. So far today the stock has hit a low of $17.00 and a high of $19.00. As of 10:40, RSH is trading at $18.50, up $2.76 (17.5%). The chart for RSH looks neutral and improving slightly, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an April bull-put credit spread below the $15 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. This particular trade will make an 8.7% return in just two months as long as RSH is above $15 at April expiration. RadioShack would have to fall by more than 18% before we would start to lose money.
RSH hasn't been below $15 by too much in the past year and has shown support around $15.10 recently. This trade could be risky if the US economy continues to worsen, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock might receive due to its positive announcement today.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in RSH.
Ultralife Batteries (NASDAQ: ULBI) provides a range of non-rechargeable and rechargeable batteries, charging systems and communications accessories for use in military, industrial and consumer portable electronics products. The company's non-rechargeable lithium batteries are used to power such diverse devices as radios, emergency radio beacons, search and rescue transponders, portable medical devices and smoke alarms.
Its lithium polymer and lithium ion rechargeable batteries are used in such portable devices as laptop computers and cell phones. The U.S. Department of Defense accounts for about 20 percent of Ultralife's sales. Major commercial customers include General Dynamics (NYSE: GD), General Motors (NYSE: GM) and RadioShack (NYSE: RSH).
Electronics retailer RadioShack Corporation (NYSE: RSH) is on the rebound. The company posted net income of $46.3 million for 3rd Quarter 2007, as opposed to a net loss of $16.3 million in 3Q 2006. Cash generation is up, prepaid wireless system sales are up, GPS system sales are up, gross profit is up, and cash balances are up. On the flip side, better inventory management and a more profitable product mix combined with serious cost control efforts to reduce SG&A expenses by 13%, contributed to the rebound.
Radio Shack managed to post these good numbers despite the fact that total sales fell 9.4% due to large declines in Sprint post-paid wireless systems. CEO Julian Day insists that Radio Shack will continue to focus on both growth and profitability despite continuing problems in post-paid wireless sales. The company is trying to help its bottom line by continuing to repurchase shares, $162 million worth in 3Q 2007 alone, out of $209 million YTD.
Perhaps electronics will be a hot holiday seller this winter, giving Radio Shack a much needed boost. The stock currently trades at $18.21 and will pay a dividend of 25 cents per share.
Radio Shack Corp. (NYSE: RSH) reported net quarterly income of $46.3 million this morning ($0.34 per share) compared to a year-ago net loss of $16.3 million ($0.12 per share) as the company continued digging itself out of a hole under new CEO Julian Day. It was good to see the gadget and accessory retailer reverse its 2006 loss from the same quarter a year ago, but the revenue numbers didn't do as well. The retailer saw a 9.4% decline in its most recent quarter, to the tune of just over $960 million as same-store sales fell 8.6% from the year-ago quarter.
In other words, the cuts and restructuring Day has put in place -- which were sorely needed -- seemed to have worked in the latest quarter, although sales slumped pretty badly. It's been said that any competent CEO can slash costs and tell his or her troops to find cuts, but only the long-term leader can take the reins when that ends and grow sales and revenue beyond the cost-cutting stage. Day has not had enough time to really progress that far, but his number is coming up soon.
Analyst estimates were for a $990 million quarter with an EPS of $0.26, so the retailer did beat earnings estimates for the quarter (though not revenue estimates). An interesting factoid for the retailer's just-completed quarter: gross margin improved to 51% while selling, general and administrative expenses declined 13%. Now, that is cost cutting if I've ever seen it. Still, Day referenced the retailer's weakness in gaining commissions on post-paid wireless customers. Radio Shack still relies on cellular sales as a large part of its business, in my opinion. Is the company a retailer or a wireless reseller? Estimates peg about 15% of revenue at Radio Shack coming from wireless sales (specifically, those from Sprint Nextel). That's almost a fifth -- and way too large for comfort when a retailer is joined at the hip of a cellular carrier that's having severe ups and downs.
Children's Place (NASDAQ: PLCE) operates 899 The Children Place stores and 328 Disney Stores. PLCE is recently up $1.58 to $24.23 on renewed takeover speculation. Ex-chief executive, Ezra Dabah, a owner of 17.9% of PLCE, has said he's considering buying the company and engaged Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC) as his financial adviser. PLCE November option implied volatility of 76 is above its 26-week average of 45 according to Track Data, suggesting traders are positioning themselves for a high share price.
RadioShack (NYSE: RSH), a company with a presence of through approximately 6,000 stores, is recently up .33 cents to $19.78 on renewed & unconfirmed buyout speculation. RSH is expected to report EPS on 10/29. RSH call option volume of 5,206 contracts compares to put volume of 514 contracts. RSH November option implied volatility of 70 is above its 26-week average of 43 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risks.
Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
RadioShack (NYSE: RSH), a company with a presence of through approximately 6,000 stores, closed at $21.45. RSH is expected to report EPS on 10/29. Sprint (NYSE: S) announced it expects a net loss of 337,000 post paid subscribers and lower annual revenue expectations. BMO Capital Markets say's "this is bad news for RSH as we estimate revenues related to S make up over half of wireless sales and over 15% of total revenues." RSH is expected to report EPS on 10/29. RSH November option implied volatility of 59 is above its 26-week average of 41 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risks.
Costco (NASDAQ: COST) is expected to announce 4Q EPS of 83 cents on 10/10. Wachovia (NYSE: WB) said on 10/8 "COST's outlook for margin should be one of the key issues in focus on Wednesday's call." WB has an Outperform rating on COST. COST October option implied volatility of 33 is above its 26-week average of 24 according to Track Data, suggesting larger fluctuations.
Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
The markets stayed in a holding pattern today, not really moving up or down very much. Oil made some mild gains as November futures rose up $1.58 a barrel to $81.52 as a storm is forecast for the Gulf of Mexico.
The NYSE had volume of 2.7 billion shares with 2,024 shares advancing while 1,227 declined for a gain of 41.90 points to close at 10,142.93. On the NASDAQ, 1.7 billion shares traded, 1,659 advanced and 1,294 declined for a gain of 4.14 to 2,733.57.
In options there were 3.9 million puts and 6.1 million calls traded for a put/call open interest ratio of 0.64. Verizon Communications, Inc. (NYSE: VZ) saw heavy volume on the October 42.50 calls (VZJV) with over 182,000 options trading. The October 40 calls (VZJH) also had volume move with 164,600 options trading. The stock pays a dividend tomorrow so this is likely dividend arbitrage. Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. (NYSE: PBR) saw heavy volume on the October 60 calls (PBRJL) with over 173,700 options trading and also has a $0.43 dividend tomorrow. AT&T, Inc. (NYSE: T) saw heavy volume on the October 37.50 calls (TJU) with over 75,900 options trading. Research In Motion Limited (NASDAQ: RIMM) moved heavy volume on the October 100 calls (RULJT) with over 38,600 options trading ahead of its earnings after market close today. There were also bearish option players on RIMM with it moving 26,200 October 90 puts (RFYVR) with options trading.
Kevin Kersten is an Options Analyst with InvestorsObserver.com. Disclosure note: Mr. Kersten owns and or controls a diversified portfolio of long and short positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about.
One of the largest increases in short interest among NYSE traded stocks was seen in Best Buy (NYSE: BBY). Shares short rose by 22.3 million from July 13 to August 15, hitting 68.7 million. As of three days ago, shares in the retailer were down 8% for the month.
Investors are increasingly concerned about Best Buy's competition; Wal-Mart's (NYSE: WMT) consumer electronics business continues to grow, as does the success of Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN) in the same business. Forbes recently wrote that Best Buy first-quarter results "missed the Street's forecasts as profits were dampened by competition that undercut margins." The demise of Circuit City (NYSE: CC) also worries Wall Street. Radio Shack's (NYSE: RSH) sales numbers were also awful in the last quarter.
Best Buy reaffirmed its annual sales and earnings targets during an analyst meeting last month, but there must be a large number of skeptics. Best Buy trades at only $44, near its 52-week low and well down from the high of $58.49.
It would appear that no one is inclined to believe Best Buy management right now and the shorts are taking advantage of that.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: RadioShack (RSH), Weyerhauser (WY), Goodyear Tire (GT), Hot Topic (HOTT) and Unilever (UL, UN) were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Citigroup downgraded RadioShack (NYSE: RSH) to Sell from Hold on valuation as they believe shares have priced in a more aggressive top-line recovery than the company can deliver over the next 12 months and that margin improvement is likely to slow.
Merrill downgraded Weyerhauser (NYSE: WY) to Neutral from Buy based on the tighter credit environment and the impact on a potential containerboard divestiture or merger.
Matrix downgraded shares of Goodyear Tire (NYSE: GT) to Sell from Hold to reflect rising oil prices and negative fundamental trends.
AG Edwards downgraded Hot Topic (NASDAQ: HOTT) to Sell from Hold to reflect negative performance momentum and a lack of back-to-school prospects.
Credit Suisse downgraded Unilever (NYSE: UN, UL) to Underperform from Neutral as their analysis suggests the company continues to lose market share...
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG), Akamai Technologies (AKAM) and three railcar companies were today's noteworthy initiations:
Citigroup believes Arthur J. Gallagher (NYSE: AJG) is at a disadvantage to smaller rivals who accept contingent commissions and lacks the global presence of larger competitors, and started shares with a Sell rating and $25 target.
Friedman Billings believes Akamai (NASDAQ: AKAM) can leverage its broad product portfolio, global network deep pockets and extensive track record to remain the leader in the content delivery market, starting shares with an Outperform.
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks: 
Shares of electronics retailer 
Children's Place
The markets stayed in a holding pattern today, not really moving up or down very much. Oil made some mild gains as November futures rose up $1.58 a barrel to $81.52 as a storm is forecast for the Gulf of Mexico.
The Wal-Mart Weekly: Examining shareholder resolutions, Part 2
Earnings expectations for JC Penney, Nordstrom, Macy's, Abercrombie and others
Comfort Zone Investing: Financial stocks: Is the worst over yet?
